YermitSep 22, 20216 min readBetting on the HouseThe last few months and particularly the last few weeks have particularly interesting for my style of investing. Fears on a China...
YermitAug 2, 20213 min readPushing All-InI've been increasing my invested position rapidly over the week and half as the market sold off Chinese stocks en-mass. Today we're...
YermitJun 2, 20213 min readFood for thoughtTwo wonderful interviews to share: https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/making-money-from-unloved-and-out-of-favour-stocks Interview...
YermitMay 15, 20213 min readGoats and Sheep Market fears on US macro, US/China tensions (including de-listing of Chinese companies from US exchanges), covid-19 surge, China internet...
YermitApr 20, 20216 min readOf Leaves and Trees and OrlogIt's been over two months since my last update. Before I get to financial market thoughts I wanted to share a philosophy which I came...
YermitJan 30, 20212 min readGame Fishing & TheoryWatching the price action I'm sad but a bit relieved that my concerns on GME becoming a black swan event for financial markets is likely...
YermitJan 4, 20214 min readBitcoin to the Moon (and back?)The animal spirits are strong in Bitcoin as prices hit >$30k and news and social discussions around it reach fevered pitch. The Bitcoin...
YermitDec 13, 20203 min readWhy not bet on a market decline?A friend asked about my last post commenting that 80% long equity still seems high relative to my bearish views, why not sell everything...
YermitDec 5, 20204 min readPreparing Winter Rations for the Promised SummerThe pace of Markets rebound over the past month has been astounding. The timing of my last post on Oil & Gas investments couldn't have...
YermitSep 18, 20201 min readRay Dalio interviewA June 2020 Bloomberg interview with Ray Dalio: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WxfQ2zKXeA&t=90s This my interpretation and thoughts on...
YermitSep 13, 20203 min readHow are you positioned?If you've been stressed by the downward market moves over the past few weeks then perhaps your risk position is too high. If you've been...
YermitJun 28, 20204 min readAll Markets are Fair but not necessarily SustainableI wrote much of the below in past weeks. There is some overlap with the last post but since it was mostly complete I added a few...
YermitJun 9, 20202 min readInvestment Diary: 9/6/2020I sold my entire Air Canada position yesterday. Additionally I sold down Valaris heavily after it jumped 135%... Only last week it...
YermitJun 7, 20202 min readGuidance is bullshitFantastic interview with Barry Diller on the absurdity of guidance. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HL3znM97fs8 Businesses and the...
YermitJun 6, 20203 min readInvestment Diary: 6/6/2020What a huge bull market May turned out to be! Despite all the poor economic data, reopening fears, increasing China/US tensions and the...
YermitMar 4, 20204 min readThe Coronavirus Saga: the Fed ActThe irony! The Fed caves into the Market (and probably Trump) and made a massive 0.5% emergency cut and the Market's reaction was to...
YermitMar 1, 20206 min readInvesting in the time of CoronavirusWhat a big week the past week has been! A quick overview of the major indices to the close of markets on Friday Feb 28: a) X% week on...
YermitMar 31, 20191 min readRisk - CorrelationDalio expressed a part of my view on Risk better than I did. When talking about correlation he said most people just think about it as...
YermitDec 3, 20183 min readMy Investment ApproachI look for investments in companies where my understanding of operations is very different to the prevailing view and where their current...
YermitDec 1, 20182 min readInvestment PhilosophyI define Investment Philosophy a bit differently to mainstream. I see it as the core driver behind finding and optimising a dynamic...